By HCR Staff | Oct. 10, 2019
With another week of data at our disposal, Head Coach Ranking can project 13 pointspread winners in Week 5 NFL games.
As a reminder, we began to experiment with using our HCR numbers for NFL head coaches as a gaming metric midway through the 2017 season. After we compiled eight regular-season games of data, we began an internal experiment by developing a gaming algorithm that relied solely on our HCR scores. We then made the experiment public for the 2018 NFL season.
Using ONLY our HCR ratings in our proprietary algorithm (not considering any other variables such as injuries, weather, home/road, or any others), we are above 50 percent Against the Spread since inception.
One note: If the HCR differential between the opposing coaches is between 0 and .2, we will not make a pick on that game One game fits this category this week: Washington-Miami due to a change in head coach for Washington.
Here are our ATS picks for Week 6 based on consensus lines on Wednesday morning.
New England (-17)
Tampa Bay (+2.5)
Baltimore (-11.5)
Seattle (-1.5)
Houston (+5)
New Orleans (+1)
Philadelphia (+3)
San Francisco (+3)
Arizona (+2.5)
Dallas (-7)
Tennessee (+2.5)
L.A. Chargers (-7)
Green Bay (-4.5)
Season to Date: 15-13
