By HCR Staff | May 7, 2020
“Why did we go for 2 there??!!”
“Noooo…we can’t go for 4th and 1 here!”
“Why won’t we take advantage of this matchup? They can’t run with our guys!”
“We need a new head coach!”
If you’ve ever caught yourself yelling at your head coach, this is the site for you.
It’s been just over 3 years since we created our site, and our proprietary algorithm which measures the in-game judgment of NFL head coaches.
Why is measuring the head coach’s judgment important?
Because NFL football is the most highly orchestrated sport, and the head coach is the conductor. He’s confronted every second of the game with dozens upon dozens of choices and options, and his ability to make good decisions directly impacts the competition.
If there is a passer rating or QB rating after every game, there definitely should be some measurement of the performance of the most important person in the game as well – the head coach.
We’ve seen talented rosters struggle to win because of poor decision-making by head coaches, and alternatively, we’ve seen less-talented rosters outperform because the good judgment of the head coach closes the talent gap.
Every fan is aware of this. Generally, the first reaction always is to blame or credit players. This is understandable; they’re on the field. But all of also know that it’s the head coach directing the players to do this or that, as well as managing all the administrative game decisions that even allow – or prevent – the players from doing this or that.
Until we came along, however, no entity had ever created an algorithm that produces a metric that allows fans to compare one head coach’s decision-making versus another – beyond the win-loss record.
Now fans have our Head Coach Ranking number, which we produce every week during the NFL regular season. That number – on a 10 point scale – comes out every Tuesday of the regular season.
Our HCR metric also has allowed us to develop a sports gaming algorithm, both against the spread and on the money line. Our algorithm has been tested over a 3 year period, and continues to show much promise.
We’ll work to keep refining HCR, but if you, the reader, have any suggestions for us, please feel free to contact us.
Like you, we’re looking forward to a 2020 NFL season.