By HCR Staff | Nov. 8, 2018
With another week of data at our disposal, Head Coach Ranking can project 13 pointspread winners in Week 10 NFL games.
As a reminder, HCR did an internal study during the second half of last season that produced a 71 percent success rate picking NFL winners against the spread over a seven-week stretch of the 2017 NFL season. We made these recommendations using HCR data – and only HCR data.
Again, our picks rely solely on HCR’s grading of each head coach’s in-game decision-making – no analysis of players, injury reports, home and away data, etc.
One note: If the HCR differential between the opposing coaches is between 0 and .2, we will not make a pick on that game. One game this week falls into that category: Falcons-Browns.
With that in mind, here are HCR’s Week 10 picks against the spread, using consensus lines as of Wednesday afternoon. These picks are all based on HCR data and do not reflect opinions of any HCR staff (home team in CAPS):
Carolina (+3.5) vs. PITTSBURGH
Buffalo (+6.5) vs. N.Y. JETS
New Orleans (-5.5) vs. CINCINNATI
Washington (+3) vs. TAMPA BAY
New England (-6.5) vs. TENNESSEE
Miami (+9.5) vs. GREEN BAY
INDIANAPOLIS (-3) vs. Jacksonville
CHICAGO (-6.5) vs. Detroit
KANSAS CITY (-16.5) vs. Arizona
L.A. Chargers (-10) vs. OAKLAND
L.A. RAMS (-9.5) vs. Seattle
Dallas (+7) vs. PHILADELPHIA
SAN FRANCISCO (-3) vs. N.Y. Giants
Last week’s results ATS: 6-5
Season results: 32-36-5