By HCR Staff | Nov. 29, 2018
Is it okay to toot your own horn when you go 9-2 against the spread? We’re gonna say yes. Week 12 gave us plenty to be thankful for. Here’s hoping some of you put our picks to good use and had a great holiday weekend as well. Now, let’s keep it going…
With another week of data at our disposal, Head Coach Ranking can project 10 pointspread winners in Week 13 NFL games.
As a reminder, HCR did an internal study during the second half of last season that produced a 71 percent success rate picking NFL winners against the spread over a seven-week stretch of the 2017 NFL season. We made these recommendations using HCR data – and only HCR data.
Again, our picks rely solely on HCR’s grading of each head coach’s in-game decision-making – no analysis of players, injury reports, home and away data, etc.
One note: If the HCR differential between the opposing coaches is between 0 and .2, we will not make a pick on that game. Six games this week fall into that category: Chargers-Steelers, Panthers-Bucs, Browns-Texans, Bills-Dolphins, Jets-Titans and 49ers-Seahawks.
With that in mind, here are HCR’s Week 13 picks against the spread, using consensus lines as of Wednesday afternoon. These picks are all based on HCR data and do not reflect opinions of any HCR staff (home team in CAPS):
New Orleans (-7.5) vs. DALLAS
Indianapolis (-4) vs. JACKSONVILLE
Baltimore (+1) vs. ATLANTA
Chicago (-4.5) vs. N.Y. GIANTS
CINCINNATI (+5) vs. Denver
L.A. Rams (-10) vs. DETROIT
Arizona (+14) vs. GREEN BAY
Kansas City (-15) vs. OAKLAND
NEW ENGLAND (-5) vs. Minnesota
PHILADELPHIA (-6.5) vs. Washington
Last week’s results ATS: 9-2
Season results: 52-48-6