Head Coach Ranking

  • RANKINGS
    • What is HCR?
    • Total Ranking
    • Factor Ranking
  • ANALYSIS
    • HCR Coaching Spotlight
    • HCR Deep Dive
    • Situational Call of the Week
    • Game Posts
    • Head 2 Head
    • Head 2 Head – 2017
  • FEATURES
    • Don Banks
    • Craig Ellenport
    • Clark Judge
    • Juan Lozano
    • HCR Blog
  • COACHES
    • AFC
    • NFC

HCR Picks for NFL Wild Card Weekend, Both ATS and Moneyline

HCR Picks for NFL Wild Card Weekend, Both ATS and Moneyline

By HCR Staff | Jan. 4, 2019

After two seasons of picking winners – both against the spread and straight up with the moneyline – Head Coach Ranking has found consistent success with a methodology based solely on the combination of past performance and our proprietary HCR grades.

As a reminder, HCR did an internal study during the second half of last season that produced a 71 percent success rate picking NFL winners against the spread over a seven-week stretch of the 2017 NFL season. We made these recommendations using HCR data – and only HCR data.

While we didn’t make picks in 2017 until midway through the season – so that we could gather as much data as possible – we started making picks in Week 3 this season. And even including results from the final two weeks of the season (when betting results can get skewed because some teams are out of the playoffs and playoff teams are resting starters), HCR picks were positive.

Over the past two seasons, HCR’s picks against the spread have had a combined 57 percent success rate.

Even more impressive: Picking winners with the moneyline, HCR has a 64 percent success rate for 2017-18.

Again, our picks rely solely on HCR’s grading of each head coach’s in-game decision-making – no analysis of players, injury reports, home and away data, etc.

With that in mind, here are HCR’s Wild Card Weekend picks against the spread, using consensus lines as of Wednesday afternoon. These picks are all based on HCR data and do not reflect opinions of any HCR staff (home team in CAPS):

Indianapolis (+1) vs. HOUSTON

Seattle (+2) vs. DALLAS

BALTIMORE (-2.5) vs. L.A. Chargers

CHICAGO (-6) vs. Philadelphia

Last Week: 6-6

Season to Date: 80-77-6

NOTE: All four of our Moneyline picks this week are the same as our pointspread picks.

Please follow and like us:
Follow by Email
Facebook
Google+
Twitter
Visit Us

Tagged With: ATS, moneyline, NFL, wild card

Total Overall HCR Rank (Year To Date)

  1. 1
    8 Rating Sean Payton
  2. T2
    7.9 Rating Andy Reid
  3. T2
    7.9 Rating Sean McVay
  4. 4
    7.8 Rating John Harbaugh
  5. 5
    7.7 Rating Matt Nagy
TOTAL OVERALL RANK (6-32)

HCR Newsletter

ABOUT HCR

Headcoachranking.com assigns a grade to the in-game performance of NFL head coaches each week.  Our knowledgeable graders analyze each head coach’s performance in 5 key areas of decision making. After determining their “HCR” (Head Coach Ranking), we rank them from best to worst. HCR rankings are posted every Tuesday of the NFL season, and fans will be able to track each coach’s performance throughout the season.

GAME POSTS

  • Indianapolis Colts 33, Tennessee Titans 17 – Dec. 30, 2018

  • Los Angeles Chargers 23, Denver Broncos 9 – Dec. 30, 2018

  • Detroit Lions 31, Green Bay Packers 0 – Dec. 30, 2018

  • Pittsburgh Steelers 16, Cincinnati Bengals 13 – Dec. 30, 2018

  • New England Patriots 38, New York Jets 3 – Dec. 30, 2018

  • Kansas City Chiefs 35, Oakland Raiders 3 – Dec. 30, 2018

  • Baltimore Ravens 26, Cleveland Browns 24 – Dec. 30, 2018

  • Chicago Bears 24, Minnesota Vikings 10 – Dec. 30, 2018

  • Philadelphia Eagles 24, Washington Redskins 0 – Dec. 30, 2018

  • Los Angeles Rams 48, San Francisco 49ers 32 – Dec. 30, 2018

Copyright © 2019
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • Contact