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NFL football is a passion for us at Headcoachranking.com. And like many fans, we enjoy debating why a team won or lost a particular game.
Much of the Monday morning debate focuses on player performance. As a result, most of the content available to fans analyzes player performance through a myriad of statistics. “Analytics” have become a big part of the game and the industry. It offers fans, the media, and even front office executives multiple lenses to look at and appreciate the game.
But statistics and analytics regarding player performance can be misleading when it comes to why a team won or lost a game.
Once a team’s roster has been established, and practices for the week are over, we feel a critical component to winning or losing – or at least consistent competitiveness – is the head coach’s ability to make good decisions during the game. A head coach’s game management skills, or lack thereof, can either elevate a less talented team into a more competitive stance, or cause a more talented team to perform poorly. Obviously, getting a team to consistently play hard and use its best effort also is critical, but our site is focused strictly on how well a head coach exercises good, strategic judgment under pressure. At Head Coach Ranking, we believe that in every game, there are perhaps 6-8 critical judgment calls every head coach must make that can completely change the tenor or momentum of a game, and these decisions can lead directly to winning or losing.
While there is an infinite number of statistics to audit player performance, we couldn’t find a good one that audits a head coach’s in-game performance.
Was it a good decision to go for a 4th and 3 from that field position? Was it a good decision to blitz on a 3rd and 15 from the middle of the field ahead six points late in the 4th quarter? Was a 2-point PAT try warranted with that point differential? Each of these decisions will strongly influence the outcome or tenor of any game.
We looked for a metric that would allow us to compare one head coach’s in-game performance and decision making versus another. But we couldn’t find any numerical metric similar to a quarterback’s Passer Rating. So, we decided to create our own. We call it “HCR”, for Head Coach Rating.
Each week of the NFL season, we will rate each head coach’s performance, and we’ll rank them 1-32. They’ll be judged and ranked just like the quarterbacks, with a number assigned to the quality of their performance. And we’ll provide a brief written summary of observations that we’ve made that we find interesting or noteworthy.
We also will provide our content and analysis free of snark, or attempted humor at a head coach’s expense. We also will not follow what may or may not be happening with a coach off-the-field (e.g., personal travails, contract issues, etc.). We simply want to focus on how well he performed with his decision-making on game day.
We respect the coaching profession, and hope to become a site where coaches can come to learn about other coaches.
We hope you find the site interesting and informative. Our site is dedicated to a deeper understanding and appreciation for the game of professional football and the coaching profession, and please feel free to provide us with constructive feedback so we can work toward improving the site.
Thank you for reading and visiting Headcoachranking.com.