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Three of the NFL’s Most Desirable Jobs Could Open Up in 2020

By HCR Staff | Oct. 9, 2019

We’re a quarter of the way through the 2019 NFL season, and speculation already has begun on which head coaching jobs could open for the 2020 season.

Surprisingly, three jobs that could open would be among the most desirable in the NFL.

In Pittsburgh, head coach Mike Tomlin is under intense scrutiny. He already has served a long tenure in Pittsburgh, and based on what we have seen thus far this season, we believe that Tomlin’s methods have grown stale in Pittsburgh.

If this job opens, it is incredibly attractive for its stability. It is well documented that the Rooney family exhibits patience with its head coaches (only three since 1969), and if Tomlin were terminated, the talent cupboard also would not be completely bare. Additionally, any Steelers head coach enjoys a large and passionate fan base that truly provides a home field advantage.

Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones already has been inducted into the NFL Hall of Fame. He also owns the most valuable sports team in the world.  Jerry’s reached the pinnacle in these areas, and this is what he is accustomed to.

However, in head coach Jason Garrett, he also is accustomed to a .500 coach. It’s as if Jones is accustomed to ordering the best steak in the house, and then proceeds to douse it with ketchup.

If Jones were to make a change at head coach, the job would be attractive because Jones would spare no expense in making his team competitive. However, one of the drawbacks to the job, is simply managing Jones.  It’s a high maintenance job in this respect, and not every candidate will be suited for it.

Finally, Dan Quinn’s tenure as the Atlanta Falcons head coach may be nearing an end.  Owner Arthur Blank has a difficult time hiding his impatience for a Super Bowl championship, and right now, he is witnessing a team that cannot perform to its talent level.  

Blank has done an admirable job in elevating the quality of this organization. The Falcons organization is on sound financial footing, has a new stadium and other outstanding facilities, and is in a large market that also is desirable as a place to live.

We see only two downsides to this position. One, the fan base is fickle and doesn’t always provide a true home-field advantage. Second, the NFC South continues to be one of the NFL’s toughest divisions.  

Tagged With: Atlanta Falcons, Dallas Cowboys, Dan Quinn, Jason Garrett, Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh Steelers

Catching Up With Some Curious Coaching Moves Around the NFL

By HCR Staff | Jan. 29, 2019

While the New England Patriots and Los Angeles Rams prepare for Super Bowl LIII, there’s been plenty of activity around the NFL as the other 30 teams evaluate and make adjustments to their coaching staffs. Amid all the Super Bowl hoopla, here’s a rundown of some recent activity you may have missed:

ATLANTA FALCONS:
While head coach Dan Quinn survived a disappointing season, the Falcons did fire all three of their coordinators – offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian, defensive coordinator Marquand Manuel and special teams coordinator Keith Armstrong. It would appear that this coming season will be critical for Quinn. Dirk Koetter is the new OC. Quinn takes over as DC. The new special teams coordinator is Ben Kotwica, formerly with the Washington Redskins.

BUFFALO BILLS:
The Bills fired offensive line coach Juan Castillo, which was surprising because he and head coach Sean McDermott have a long history together; they worked on Andy Reid’s staff in Philadelphia from 2001-10. Castillo took over at defensive coordinator for McDermott when McDermott was fired by Reid after the 2010 season. The Bills o-line wasn’t expected to be good and they weren’t. They had to overcome losing a pair of veterans in center Eric Wood and Pro Bowl guard Richie Incognito.

DENVER BRONCOS:
When the Broncos hired Vic Fangio as head coach, it was widely reported that Gary Kubiak — former Broncos head coach and long-time friend of team president John Elway – would become Fangio’s offensive coordinator. Then a few days after Fangio was hired, there was a change of plan. Kubiak surprisingly left Denver to take the OC job with the Minnesota Vikings. Bizarre.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS:
Speaking of bizarre, this was one of the more unexpected moves of the offseason. The Colts offensive line was arguably the most improved offensive line in football and a big reason why the team made the postseason. Yet soon after they lost to the Chiefs in the divisional playoffs, o-line coach Dave DeGuglielmo was fired. This was a surprise.

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS:
Running backs coach Tyrone Wheatley, who was fired earlier this month, had been hired by Jaguars head coach Doug Marrone in 2017. Wheatley previously worked on Marrone’s staffs at Syracuse and with the Buffalo Bills. He might have been the fall guy for running back malcontent Leonard Fournette.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS:
The Vikings chose not to renew the contract of special teams coordinator Mike Priefer, who had been with the team since 2011. He is now the special teams coordinator with the Cleveland Browns.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS:
No coach spends more time with the players than the strength staff, and head strength and conditioning coach Chris Carlisle had been a staple of the team since 2010. He was hired by Pete Carroll at USC in 2009 and followed him to Seattle a year later. This is the second offseason in a row where the Seahawks have made significant changes to core members of the staff that came over from USC. Last year, they fired Kris Richard, who had been the defensive coordinator. This year, Carlisle was let go.

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS:
New Bucs head coach Bruce Arians hired Todd McNair to be his running backs coach. McNair, a former NFL player who last coached in 2009 for USC, had been out of coaching since then – perhaps due to his alleged involvement in the Reggie Bush-related scandal at USC. This was a good opportunity for McNair to get back into the game – Arians was McNair’s coach back when he played at Temple.

Tagged With: Atlanta Falcons, Buffalo Bills, Denver Broncos, Jacksonville Jaguars, Minnesota Vikings, NFL, Seattle Seahawks, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Atlanta Falcons 34, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 32 – Dec. 30, 2018

At Tampa Bay
1:00 p.m. ET
77 degrees, mostly cloudy

TEAM PLAY
CALLING
PERSONNEL GAME
PLANNING
IN-GAME
ADJ
CLOCK
MGMT
HCR
ATL 8 8 7 8 8 7.8
TB 6 8 8 6 7 7.0

Key Observations:

• Good game clock management by the Falcons on their final drive of the first half, resulting in a touchdown.

• Atlanta overcame a 17-point deficit in this game which is a credit to their in-game adjustments.

• Tampa Bay attempted 2-point conversions on consecutive touchdowns starting around 8:00 remaining in the fourth quarter. The first try brought the game to within three points and the second try aimed to extend the lead to three. Both were unsuccessful. Tampa Bay eventually lost on a last-second, game-winning field goal by the Falcons. Had Tampa Bay just stayed the course and kicked the extra points, they would have had a 3-point lead and gone to overtime. This was an excellent example of why 2-point conversions can have unforeseen consequences when attempted too early in the game. These decisions resulted in a lowering of the score to Tampa Bay’s play calling category, which otherwise was quite good on the day.

Tagged With: Atlanta Falcons, Dan Quinn, Dirk Koetter, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Atlanta Falcons 24, Carolina Panthers 10 – Dec. 23, 2018

At Carolina
1:00 p.m. ET
52 degrees

TEAM PLAY
CALLING
PERSONNEL GAME
PLANNING
IN-GAME
ADJ
CLOCK
MGMT
HCR
ATL 8 7 7 8 8 7.6
CAR 7 8 7 6 7 7.0

Key Coaching Decision #1: (CAR ball, trailing 24-10 / fourth-and-1, ATL 6 / 8:36 Q4)
• Down by 14 points, Atlanta decided to go for it. Taylor Heinicke dropped back and his pass intended for Curtis Samuel fell incomplete and the Falcons took over.

Key Coaching Decision #2: (CAR ball, trailing 24-10 / fourth-and-10, ATL 30 / 6:42 Q4)
• The Panthers again had the ball deep in Atlanta territory and went for it on fourth down. They again came up short as Bruce Irvin sacked Heinicke.

Key Observations:
• Atlanta had a balanced attack as they had 194 yards rushing and 233 yards passing, which kept the Carolina defense off balance. Opening up the second half, Matt Ryan hit Calvin Ridley on a 75-yard touchdown pass that the Panthers couldn’t recover from.

• Carolina running back Christian McCaffrey had another amazing game as he had 178 yards of total offense. He was the only reliable option for an injury-riddled Panthers offense. McCaffrey broke the NFL record for receptions by a running back in the third quarter and now has 106 catches on the season.

• The Panthers ran 36 more plays than Atlanta and had the ball for 15 more minutes in the game, but couldn’t overcome four turnovers and multiple missed opportunities in Atlanta territory.

• Carolina lost its seventh consecutive game and third consecutive game at home.

Tagged With: Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, Dan Quinn, Ron Rivera

Atlanta Falcons 40, Arizona Cardinals 14 – Dec. 16, 2018

At Atlanta
1:00 p.m. ET
Dome

TEAM PLAY
CALLING
PERSONNEL GAME
PLANNING
IN-GAME
ADJ
CLOCK
MGMT
HCR
ARI 5 6 5 5 6 5.4
ATL 8 7 7 7 8 7.4

Key Observations:
• We feel for Cardinals rookie quarterback Josh Rosen. It will be hard to develop him under the current circumstances, as he’s dealing with a rookie head coach, a rookie offensive coordinator, and a far-below-average offensive line. Rosen has talent but, in our view, it is unfair to properly assess his play and make a judgment given the circumstances.

• This was the kind of game the Falcons had to win, and had to win impressively. They did so, and played with a lot of enthusiasm. This was a testament to Falcons head coach Dan Quinn’s team-building skills. At this point in the year, it is sometimes difficult to get players to perform when the playoffs are lost. The Falcons were flying around Sunday, and played well.

Tagged With: Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Dan Quinn, Steve Wilks

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Headcoachranking.com assigns a grade to the in-game performance of NFL head coaches each week.  Our knowledgeable graders analyze each head coach’s performance in 5 key areas of decision making. After determining their “HCR” (Head Coach Ranking), we rank them from best to worst. HCR rankings are posted every Tuesday of the NFL season, and fans will be able to track each coach’s performance throughout the season.

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