By HCR Staff | Oct. 15, 2020

To recap, here at HCR we make two types of picks every week. Our Against The Spread picks are made by using nothing but our HCR scores and our proprietary algorithm. Our Moneyline picks, however, simply take the higher rated head coach. In Week 5, we were 8-4 with our ATS picks. We now own a 67 percent success rate so far this season and a 57 percent success rate since inception with our ATS bets.  And similarly, success rate for Moneyline bets are 57 percent and 64 percent for this season and since inception, respectively. 

As a reminder, if the HCR differential between the opposing coaches is not at least .2 we will not make a pick on that game. In addition, we also will not be making any recommendation for ATL and HOU games until interim head coaches have coached at least 3 games. 

With that in mind, here are our Week 6 Moneyline / ATS picks:

Moneyline

Carolina

Jacksonville

Washington

Pittsburgh

Baltimore

Indianapolis

Green Bay

L.A. Rams

Miami

New England

Arizona

Kansas City

ATS

Carolina (-2.5)

Detroit (-3.5)

Washington (+3)

Cleveland (+3.5)

Philadelphia (+7.5)

Cincinnati (+7.5)

Green Bay (-1.5)

San Francisco (+3.5)

Miami (-9)

Denver (+9.5)

Dallas (+2.5)

Buffalo (+3.5)

By HCR Staff | Oct. 8, 2020

To recap, here at HCR we make two types of picks every week. Our Against The Spread picks are made by using nothing but our HCR scores and our proprietary algorithm. Our Moneyline picks, however, simply take the higher rated head coach. In Week 4, we were 9-5 with our Moneyline picks. We now own a 64 percent success rate so far this season and a 64 percent success rate since inception.

If the HCR differential between the opposing coaches is not at least .2 we will not make a pick on that game. This week, we will not play IND vs CLE game due to this reason. In addition, we also will not be making any recommendation for JAX vs HOU due to new coaching staff.

With that in mind, here are our Week 5 Moneyline / ATS picks:

Moneyline Bets
Tampa Bay
Carolina
Kansas City
New England
L.A. Rams
Buffalo
Arizona
Philadelphia
Baltimore
San Francisco
Dallas
Seattle
L.A. Chargers
Green Bay

ATS Bets
Chicago (+4.5)
Carolina (+2)
Las Vegas (+13)
New England (-5)
Washington (+8)
Buffalo (-1)
Arizona (-7)
Pittsburgh (-7)
Cincinnati (+13)
Miami (+8)
N.Y. Giants (+9.5)
Minnesota (+7)
New Orleans (-7.5)
Green Bay (-7)

By HCR Staff | October 1, 2020

To recap, here at HCR we make two types of picks every week. Our Against the Spread picks are made by using nothing but our HCR scores and our proprietary algorithm. With our Moneyline picks, however, we simply take the higher rated head coach. For the 2019 season, we had a 64 percent success rate for Moneyline picks and 56 percent success rate for ATS Picks.

Even more impressive: On the Moneyline, HCR has a cumulative 63 percent success rate for 2017-19. We’ll see how our algorithms hold up for 2020.

Again, our picks rely solely on HCR’s grading of each head coach’s in-game decision-making – we don’t rely on any other variables such as player quality, injuries, weather, home and away data, etc.

One condition of note: If the HCR differential between the opposing coaches is not at least .2, we will not make a pick on that game. This week, two games falls under that category: Indianapolis-Chicago and Pittsburgh-Tennessee (and this game has been postponed as well). In addition, in Week 4, we also will not be making any recommendations for Minnesota-Houston game until more information is known about the COVID-19 situation.

With that in mind, here are our Week 4 Moneyline picks:

Denver
New Orleans
Arizona
Jacksonville
Dallas
Seattle
L.A. Chargers
Baltimore
L.A. Rams
Kansas City
Buffalo
San Francisco
Green Bay

And lastly, ATS picks for Week 4 based on consensus lines on Wednesday morning:

Denver (-1)
New Orleans (-4)
Carolina (+3.5)
Jacksonville (+3)
Cleveland (+4.5)
Miami (+6.5)
Tampa Bay (-7)
Washington (+13)
NY Giants (+12.5)
New England (+7)
Buffalo (-3)
San Francisco (-7)
Green Bay (-7)