By HCR Staff | Dec. 28, 2019

With another week of data at our disposal, Head Coach Ranking can project three pointspread winners in Week 17 NFL games.

As a reminder, we began to experiment with using our HCR numbers for NFL head coaches as a gaming metric midway through the 2017 season. After we compiled eight regular-season games of data, we began an internal experiment by developing a gaming algorithm that relied solely on our HCR scores. We then made the experiment public for the 2018 NFL season.

Using ONLY our HCR ratings in our proprietary algorithm (not considering any other variables such as injuries, weather, home/road, or any others), we are 52 percent against the spread so far this season and 56 percent since inception. In Week 16 we went 3-2 against the spread.

One note: If the HCR differential between the opposing coaches is not at least .2 we will not make a pick on that game. This week, no games fall under that category. In weeks 16 and 17, we also will not be making any recommendation if the game involves any team that already has been eliminated from the playoffs.

With that in mind, here are our ATS picks for Week 17 based on consensus lines on Friday morning.

Tennesee (-5.5)
Baltimore (+2)
San Francisco (-3.5)

Season to date: 82-74-4

By HCR Staff | Dec. 19, 2019

With another week of data at our disposal, Head Coach Ranking can project five pointspread winners in Week 16 NFL games.

As a reminder, we began to experiment with using our HCR numbers for NFL head coaches as a gaming metric midway through the 2017 season. After we compiled eight regular-season games of data, we began an internal experiment by developing a gaming algorithm that relied solely on our HCR scores. We then made the experiment public for the 2018 NFL season.

Using ONLY our HCR ratings in our proprietary algorithm (not considering any other variables such as injuries, weather, home/road, or any others), we are 52 percent against the spread so far this season and 55 percent since inception. In Week 15 we went 6-8 against the spread.

One note: If the HCR differential between the opposing coaches is not at least .2 we will not make a pick on that game. This week, one game falls under that category: Dallas-Philadelphia. In weeks 16 and 17, we also will not be making any recommendation if the game involves any team that already has been eliminated from the playoffs.

With that in mind, here are our ATS picks for Week 16 based on consensus lines on Wednesday morning.

San Francisco (-6)
New England (-6.5)
New Orleans (-1)
Baltimore (-10)
Minnesota (-4.5)

Season to date: 79-72-4

By HCR Staff | Dec. 12, 2019

With another week of data at our disposal, Head Coach Ranking can project 14 pointspread winners in Week 15 NFL games.

As a reminder, we began to experiment with using our HCR numbers for NFL head coaches as a gaming metric midway through the 2017 season. After we compiled eight regular-season games of data, we began an internal experiment by developing a gaming algorithm that relied solely on our HCR scores. We then made the experiment public for the 2018 NFL season.

Using ONLY our HCR ratings in our proprietary algorithm (not considering any other variables such as injuries, weather, home/road, or any others), we are 52 percent against the spread so far this season and 56 percent since inception. In Week 14 we went 5-6-2 against the spread.

One note: If the HCR differential between the opposing coaches is not at least .2 we will not make a pick on that game. This week, one game falls under that category: Buffalo-Pittsburgh. We will also not be picking any Carolina games until enough data is collected.

With that in mind, here are our ATS picks for Week 15 based on consensus lines on Wednesday morning.

Baltimore (-16)
Detroit (+3.5)
Philadelphia (-4.5)
Chicago (-4.5)
New England (-9.5)
Tennessee (-3)
Denver (+9.5)
Miami (-3.5)
Jacksonville (+6.5)
Arizona (+2.5)
San Francisco (-11)
L.A. Rams (-1)
Minnesota (-2.5)
Indianapolis (+9)

Season to date: 73-64-4

By HCR Staff | Dec. 5, 2019

With another week of data at our disposal, Head Coach Ranking can project 13 pointspread winners in Week 14 NFL games.

As a reminder, we began to experiment with using our HCR numbers for NFL head coaches as a gaming metric midway through the 2017 season. After we compiled eight regular-season games of data, we began an internal experiment by developing a gaming algorithm that relied solely on our HCR scores. We then made the experiment public for the 2018 NFL season.

Using ONLY our HCR ratings in our proprietary algorithm (not considering any other variables such as injuries, weather, home/road, or any others), we are 53 percent against the spread so far this season and 56 percent since inception. In Week 13 we went 9-5 against the spread.

One note: If the HCR differential between the opposing coaches is not at least .2 we will not make a pick on that game. This week, two games fall under that category: L.A. Chargers-Jacksonville and Tennessee-Oakland. We will also not be picking any Carolina games until enough data is collected.

With that in mind, here are our ATS picks for Week 14 based on consensus lines on Wednesday morning.

Dallas (-3)
Baltimore (-5.5)
Washington (+13)
Houston (-9.5)
San Francisco (+2.5)
Cincinnati (+8.5)
Detroit (+13)
Miami (+5.5)
Indianapolis (+3)
New England (-3)
Arizona (+2.5)
Seattle (PK)
Philadelphia (-9.5)

Season to date: 68-58-2

By HCR Staff | Nov. 28, 2019

With another week of data at our disposal, Head Coach Ranking can project 14 pointspread winners in Week 13 NFL games.

As a reminder, we began to experiment with using our HCR numbers for NFL head coaches as a gaming metric midway through the 2017 season. After we compiled eight regular-season games of data, we began an internal experiment by developing a gaming algorithm that relied solely on our HCR scores. We then made the experiment public for the 2018 NFL season.

Using ONLY our HCR ratings in our proprietary algorithm (not considering any other variables such as injuries, weather, home/road, or any others), we are 52 percent against the spread so far this season and 56 percent since inception. In Week 12 we went 6-7 against the spread.

One note: If the HCR differential between the opposing coaches is not at least .2 we will not make a pick on that game. This week, two games fall under that category: Baltimore-San Francisco and Oakland-Kansas City.

With that in mind, here are our ATS picks for Week 13 based on consensus lines on Wednesday morning.

Detroit (+2.5)
Buffalo (+7)
New Orleans (-7)
N.Y. Giants (+6.5)
Washington (+10)
Indianapolis (-2.5)
Miami (+9)
Tampa Bay (+1)
Cincinnati (+3.5)
L.A. Rams (-3)
L.A. Chargers (-2.5)
Pittsburgh (+1.5)
New England (-3)
Minnesota (+3)

Season to date: 59-53-2