By HCR Staff | September 5, 2019
HCR enters NFL season three today, and as far as we know we still remain the only advanced metric that quantifies the in-game judgment and decision-making quality of every NFL head coach. In this age of affection for everything analytics, we remain baffled as to why we don’t have any peers in this space. Particularly since a head coach’s judgment and decision-making talent under pressure is the most critical variable in determining a team’s effectiveness.
Since we started HCR and began closely tracking the in-game judgment of NFL head coaches, we initially were astounded by the consistent lack of reasoned judgment by seemingly experienced coaches. However, we conclude many of these errors in judgment are not avoidable. Why?
Well, for many head coaches, they simply don’t have much – or any – experience in being a head coach. And then for those who may have been a head coach on a lower level, they aren’t used to the level of scrutiny NFL football brings. Additionally, making good judgments under pressure during a game also is a talent, and not everyone has it. There simply are a lot of head coaches better suited to being coordinators or position coaches.
The role of NFL Head Coach demands a skill set that very, very few people have. Of the 32 head coaches entering the 2019 NFL season, at least half right out of the gate simply don’t have the ability to consistently display good in-game decision-making. That means that the only way they will win is if they have superior talent, superior organizational support, or injury luck, to make a playoff run. The margin for error is much slimmer for these head coaches.
We are excited for season three and thank you for your interest in HCR.